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Serie A · Brazil
Internacional vs Botafogo prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Internacional host Botafogo in the Serie A (Brazil) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Internacional had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Botafogo had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Internacional's last 10 and 5 of Botafogo's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Internacional averaged 1.46 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Botafogo averaged 1.36 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from Internacional and 1.15 from Botafogo. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 29%, against 52%, 26% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Internacional (green) and Botafogo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | LDWLW | 1.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Botafogo | WDLLW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 26 Apr 2026 · Botafogo 2–2 Internacional
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
| Internacional Win | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- Mirassol vs Sao Paulo · 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Vitoria vs Atletico Paranaense · 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.75 - Cruzeiro vs Remo · 23 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50