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Championship · Northern Ireland
Institute vs Moyola Park prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Institute host Moyola Park in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Moyola Park +2.5 Asian Handicap — Moyola Park +2.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 77% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Institute had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 18. Moyola Park had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Institute's last 10 and 5 of Moyola Park's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Institute averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Moyola Park averaged 1.45 scored and 2.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.16 goals from Institute and 1.27 from Moyola Park. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 21%, against 60%, 21% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Institute (green) and Moyola Park (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Institute | LWDWL | 2.00 | 1.80 | 30% | 60% |
| Moyola Park | WLWLW | 1.30 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Institute Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Ards vs Newry City AFC · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Ballinamallard United Win @ 1.48 - Dundela vs Warrenpoint Town · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Loughgall vs Annagh United · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Annagh United Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Queen's University vs Glenavon FC · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals