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Championship · Northern Ireland
Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ballinamallard United host Armagh City in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Ballinamallard United Win — Ballinamallard United to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ballinamallard United had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Armagh City had won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Ballinamallard United's last 10 and 6 of Armagh City's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ballinamallard United averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Armagh City averaged 0.33 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.59 goals from Ballinamallard United and 0.67 from Armagh City. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 15%, against 61%, 21% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ballinamallard United (green) and Armagh City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ballinamallard United | WDDWD | 1.70 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Armagh City | DLLLD | 0.90 | 1.90 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 21 Apr 2026 · Ballinamallard United 6–0 Armagh City
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ballinamallard United Win | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.73 |
| Ballinamallard United HT & FT | 46% | 2.05 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Ards vs Newry City AFC · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Dundela vs Warrenpoint Town · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Institute vs Moyola Park · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Moyola Park +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.22 - Loughgall vs Annagh United · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Annagh United Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Queen's University vs Glenavon FC · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals