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Championship · Northern Ireland
Ards vs Newry City AFC prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ards host Newry City AFC in the Championship (Northern Ireland) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ards had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Newry City AFC had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Ards's last 10 and 8 of Newry City AFC's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ards averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Newry City AFC averaged 1.56 scored and 1.33 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Ards and 1.00 from Newry City AFC. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 33%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ards (green) and Newry City AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | DLLWD | 0.60 | 1.10 | 30% | 20% |
| Newry City AFC | LLDWL | 1.60 | 1.70 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Ballinamallard United vs Armagh City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Ballinamallard United Win @ 1.48 - Dundela vs Warrenpoint Town · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals - Institute vs Moyola Park · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Moyola Park +2.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.22 - Loughgall vs Annagh United · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Annagh United Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Queen's University vs Glenavon FC · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals