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1st Division · Albania
Iliria Fushë-Krujë vs Burreli prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Iliria Fushë-Krujë host Burreli in the 1st Division (Albania) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Iliria Fushë-Krujë 1–0 Burreli.
Going into the match, Iliria Fushë-Krujë had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 12. Burreli had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Iliria Fushë-Krujë's last 10 and 5 of Burreli's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Iliria Fushë-Krujë averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Burreli averaged 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from Iliria Fushë-Krujë and 0.89 from Burreli. From that it rates a home win at 52%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 21%, against 52%, 28% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Iliria Fushë-Krujë (green) and Burreli (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë | LWDDW | 1.50 | 1.20 | 60% | 40% |
| Burreli | DLWLD | 1.20 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 68% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë Win | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Iliria Fushë-Krujë HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other 1st Division matches that day
- Besëlidhja Lezhë vs Kastrioti Krujë · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.73 · FT 4–1 - Korabi Peshkopi vs Bylis · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd · 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · 1st Division
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–2