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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Helmond Sport host NAC Breda in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Helmond Sport 0–2 NAC Breda.
Going into the match, Helmond Sport had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 19. NAC Breda had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Helmond Sport's last 10 and 8 of NAC Breda's last 10; 7 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Helmond Sport averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home NAC Breda averaged 1.64 scored and 1.73 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from Helmond Sport and 1.75 from NAC Breda. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 46%, against 17%, 20% and 63% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 62%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Helmond Sport (green) and NAC Breda (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport | LDLLW | 1.60 | 1.90 | 90% | 70% |
| NAC Breda | WDWWL | 2.00 | 1.90 | 80% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| NAC Breda Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eerste Divisie matches that day
- Den Bosch vs FC OSS · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–1 - FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 · FT 0–1 - VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.30 · FT 4–4