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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven vs Vitesse prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Eindhoven host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Eindhoven 0–1 Vitesse.
Going into the match, FC Eindhoven had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 22. Vitesse had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Eindhoven's last 10 and 6 of Vitesse's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Eindhoven averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Vitesse averaged 1.57 scored and 1.29 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.10 goals from FC Eindhoven and 1.32 from Vitesse. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 41%, against 26%, 24% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 50%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Eindhoven (green) and Vitesse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Eindhoven | LDLWW | 1.50 | 2.20 | 70% | 80% |
| Vitesse | LDLWL | 1.50 | 1.50 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Eerste Divisie matches that day
- Den Bosch vs FC OSS · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.40 · FT 2–1 - Helmond Sport vs NAC Breda · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.53 · FT 0–2 - VVV Venlo vs Jong AZ · 16 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · Eerste Divisie
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.30 · FT 4–4