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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification · International
Guinea vs Kenya prediction and preview
1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Guinea host Kenya in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (International) on 1 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Guinea 1–0 Kenya.
Going into the match, Guinea had won 0, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 2 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 3. Kenya had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 3, with 6 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Guinea's last 2 and 2 of Kenya's last 3; 1 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Guinea averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 0 matches; away from home Kenya averaged 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 55% for Guinea, 27% for the draw and 18% for Kenya once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Guinea (green) and Kenya (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 3 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.36 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Guinea Win | 55% | 1.65 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 42% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.