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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification statistics and predictions
Season to date: 48 matches since 24 Sep 2026, last updated 22 Oct 2026.
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification in numbers
Analysis
48 matches have been played in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (World) since 24 Sep 2026, averaging 2.65 goals a game. That is lower-scoring than the average across our archive (3.06 goals a game).
Home sides won 26 (54%), 10 matches were drawn (21%) and away sides won 12 (25%). Home advantage here is stronger than usual. Both teams scored in 54% of matches, 48% went over 2.5 goals, 77% over 1.5, and 1 finished goalless.
Our team-strength model, refitted every night, rates the strongest attacks as Morocco (1.45), Senegal (1.33), Algeria (1.32), and the meanest defences as Morocco (0.48), Ivory Coast (0.52), South Africa (0.58). A rating of 1.00 is an average side in this competition.
Results table
Calculated from the final scores in our archive since 24 Sep 2026. This is not the official table — it applies no points deductions or tie-break rules, and for cup competitions it simply totals results across rounds.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Africa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| 2 | Guinea-Bissau | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Ivory Coast | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Gambia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Rwanda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Mali | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Congo DR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Egypt | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Algeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 12 | Cameroon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Angola | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 14 | Benin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Senegal | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | Burkina Faso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 | Uganda | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 | Mauritania | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 19 | Zimbabwe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Zambia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 21 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 23 | Namibia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 25 | Niger | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 26 | Comoros | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 27 | Equatorial Guinea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 28 | Togo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 29 | Nigeria | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 30 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 31 | Botswana | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 32 | Tunisia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 33 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 34 | Libya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 35 | Burundi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 36 | Kenya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 37 | Congo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 38 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 39 | Eritrea | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
| 40 | Sierra Leone | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
About these statistics
The figures above are counts over final scores (90 minutes) in the PunterPick results archive. Nothing is estimated: a match only counts once its final score is in. Team links lead to each side's own form, home and away record and the predictions we have published for them. How we build our predictions is explained on the methodology page.