Home › League stats › USL League One › Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence
USL League One · USA
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Greenville Triumph host Charlotte Independence in the USL League One (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Greenville Triumph 0–3 Charlotte Independence.
Going into the match, Greenville Triumph had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 24. Charlotte Independence had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Greenville Triumph's last 10 and 7 of Charlotte Independence's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Greenville Triumph averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Charlotte Independence averaged 1.73 scored and 1.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from Greenville Triumph and 2.36 from Charlotte Independence. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 61%, against 37%, 24% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Greenville Triumph (green) and Charlotte Independence (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville Triumph | WDLLL | 1.40 | 2.40 | 60% | 80% |
| Charlotte Independence | WWDWD | 2.40 | 1.40 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 Aug 2026 · Charlotte Independence 1–0 Greenville Triumph
- 25 Jun 2026 · Charlotte Independence 1–0 Greenville Triumph
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 70% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Charlotte Independence Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Greenville Triumph form and statistics
- Charlotte Independence form and statistics
- USL League One statistics
Other USL League One matches that day
- Boise vs Alta · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Boise Win @ 1.45 · FT 2–1 - Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 - Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–3 - Westchester SC vs Union Omaha · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 5–1