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USL League One · USA
Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Forward Madison host Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Forward Madison 2–0 Portland Hearts of Pine.
Going into the match, Forward Madison had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Portland Hearts of Pine had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Forward Madison's last 10 and 9 of Portland Hearts of Pine's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Forward Madison averaged 2.31 goals scored and 0.94 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Portland Hearts of Pine averaged 1.67 scored and 2.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.55 goals from Forward Madison and 0.96 from Portland Hearts of Pine. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 11%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Forward Madison (green) and Portland Hearts of Pine (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forward Madison | LDLWL | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
| Portland Hearts of Pine | LDLDW | 1.40 | 2.00 | 90% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 Aug 2026 · Portland Hearts of Pine 1–2 Forward Madison
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| Forward Madison Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| Forward Madison HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Forward Madison form and statistics
- Portland Hearts of Pine form and statistics
- USL League One statistics
Other USL League One matches that day
- Boise vs Alta · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Boise Win @ 1.45 · FT 2–1 - Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 - Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise · 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.54 · FT 1–3 - Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–3 - Westchester SC vs Union Omaha · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 5–1