Home › League stats › USL League One › Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise
USL League One · USA
Fort Wayne vs Sarasota Paradise prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fort Wayne host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One (USA) on 17 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.54, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fort Wayne 1–3 Sarasota Paradise.
Going into the match, Fort Wayne had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Sarasota Paradise had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Fort Wayne's last 10 and 9 of Sarasota Paradise's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fort Wayne averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Sarasota Paradise averaged 1.06 scored and 1.56 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Fort Wayne and 1.37 from Sarasota Paradise. From that it rates a home win at 50%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 26%, against 52%, 24% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fort Wayne (green) and Sarasota Paradise (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fort Wayne | WWDDD | 2.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Sarasota Paradise | WLWWD | 2.40 | 1.50 | 90% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.54 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| Fort Wayne Win | 50% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.15 |
| Fort Wayne HT & FT | 34% | 2.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other USL League One matches that day
- Boise vs Alta · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Boise Win @ 1.45 · FT 2–1 - Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves · 18 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.64 - Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 0–3 - Westchester SC vs Union Omaha · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–0 - Richmond Kickers vs Corpus Christi · 17 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · USL League One
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.52 · FT 5–1