Gornik Zabrze vs Piast Gliwice prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Gornik Zabrze host Piast Gliwice in the Ekstraklasa (Poland) on 18 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Gornik Zabrze 1–1 Piast Gliwice.

Going into the match, Gornik Zabrze had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 15. Piast Gliwice had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Gornik Zabrze's last 10 and 5 of Piast Gliwice's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gornik Zabrze averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.31 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Piast Gliwice averaged 1.10 scored and 1.10 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Gornik Zabrze and 1.00 from Piast Gliwice. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 21%, against 57%, 24% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Gornik Zabrze (green) and Piast Gliwice (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form52% – 48%

Attack44% – 56%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head80% – 20%

Goals64% – 36%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Gornik Zabrze	WLDWW	1.50	1.50	60%	60%
Piast Gliwice	WLLWW	2.00	1.50	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 12	77%	1.22
Over 1.5 Goals	77%	1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	70%	1.33
Under 3.5 Goals	66%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Gornik Zabrze Win	58%	1.60
Over 2.5 Goals	55%	1.73
BTTS Yes	54%	1.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.