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Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente vs FC Porto prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
GIL Vicente host FC Porto in the Primeira Liga (Portugal) on 24 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Porto Win — FC Porto to win. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, GIL Vicente had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 10. FC Porto had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of GIL Vicente's last 10 and 6 of FC Porto's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home GIL Vicente averaged 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Porto averaged 2.00 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from GIL Vicente and 1.41 from FC Porto. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 53%, against 13%, 22% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between GIL Vicente (green) and FC Porto (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIL Vicente | WDWDL | 1.20 | 1.00 | 50% | 40% |
| FC Porto | LLWWW | 2.10 | 1.10 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Jul 2026 · GIL Vicente 1–0 FC Porto
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| FC Porto Win | 65% | 1.45 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Primeira Liga matches that day
- Alverca vs Arouca · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 - Estrela vs Casa Pia · 24 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Primeira Liga
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33