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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Giana Erminio host Union Brescia in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Union Brescia Win — Union Brescia to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Giana Erminio 2–1 Union Brescia.
Going into the match, Giana Erminio had won 0, drawn 5 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 17. Union Brescia had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Giana Erminio's last 10 and 5 of Union Brescia's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Giana Erminio averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Union Brescia averaged 1.18 scored and 0.91 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.95 goals from Giana Erminio and 1.94 from Union Brescia. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 60%, against 18%, 25% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Giana Erminio (green) and Union Brescia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giana Erminio | DDDDD | 1.00 | 1.70 | 70% | 50% |
| Union Brescia | WDDWD | 2.10 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Sep 2026 · Union Brescia 5–2 Giana Erminio
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Union Brescia Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone A matches that day
- Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Cittadella Win @ 1.55 · FT 1–0 - Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Trento · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–3 - Juventus U23 vs Renate · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1