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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Cittadella vs Arzignano Valchiampo prediction and preview
19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cittadella host Arzignano Valchiampo in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Cittadella Win — Cittadella to win. It was published at odds of 1.55, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Cittadella 1–0 Arzignano Valchiampo.
Going into the match, Cittadella had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 5. Arzignano Valchiampo had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cittadella's last 10 and 7 of Arzignano Valchiampo's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cittadella averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Arzignano Valchiampo averaged 1.71 scored and 1.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.52 goals from Cittadella and 0.82 from Arzignano Valchiampo. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 19%, against 57%, 25% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cittadella (green) and Arzignano Valchiampo (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella | WLWWW | 2.00 | 0.50 | 40% | 50% |
| Arzignano Valchiampo | WDWWW | 1.60 | 1.20 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 3 May 2026 · Cittadella 2–2 Arzignano Valchiampo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Cittadella Win | 57% | 1.55 |
| BTTS No | 50% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie C - Girone A matches that day
- Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Trento · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–3 - Giana Erminio vs Union Brescia · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: Union Brescia Win @ 1.55 · FT 2–1 - Juventus U23 vs Renate · 19 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie C - Girone A
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 · FT 2–1