Home › League stats › K League 1 › Gangwon FC vs Incheon United
K League 1 · South Korea
Gangwon FC vs Incheon United prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Gangwon FC host Incheon United in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon United.
Going into the match, Gangwon FC had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 8. Incheon United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Gangwon FC's last 10 and 6 of Incheon United's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Gangwon FC averaged 0.94 goals scored and 0.81 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Incheon United averaged 1.15 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.78 goals from Gangwon FC and 0.80 from Incheon United. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 32%, against 44%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Gangwon FC (green) and Incheon United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangwon FC | LWDLD | 1.10 | 0.80 | 40% | 40% |
| Incheon United | WDDLW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Sep 2026 · Gangwon FC 0–0 Incheon United
- 2 May 2026 · Incheon United 0–1 Gangwon FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.62 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Gangwon FC Win | 43% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Daejeon Citizen Win @ 1.42 - Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28