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K League 1 · South Korea
FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Seoul host Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Seoul 2–2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Going into the match, FC Seoul had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 11. Gimcheon Sangmu FC had won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Seoul's last 10 and 5 of Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Seoul averaged 1.36 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Gimcheon Sangmu FC averaged 1.07 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.55 goals from FC Seoul and 1.00 from Gimcheon Sangmu FC. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 23%, against 61%, 23% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Seoul (green) and Gimcheon Sangmu FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | LWLLW | 1.90 | 1.10 | 40% | 60% |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | LWDDD | 0.90 | 1.10 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Gimcheon Sangmu FC 0–0 FC Seoul
- 2 May 2026 · FC Seoul 2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| FC Seoul Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- Gangwon FC vs Incheon United · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Daejeon Citizen Win @ 1.42 - Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28