Home › League stats › K League 1 › Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC
K League 1 · South Korea
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Daejeon Citizen host Gwangju FC in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Daejeon Citizen Win — Daejeon Citizen to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 3–2 Gwangju FC.
Going into the match, Daejeon Citizen had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Gwangju FC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Daejeon Citizen's last 10 and 7 of Gwangju FC's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Daejeon Citizen averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Gwangju FC averaged 0.82 scored and 2.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.66 goals from Daejeon Citizen and 1.13 from Gwangju FC. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 13%, against 65%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Daejeon Citizen (green) and Gwangju FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejeon Citizen | DWDWD | 2.10 | 1.10 | 70% | 70% |
| Gwangju FC | WDDLD | 1.50 | 1.90 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 Aug 2026 · Daejeon Citizen 2–0 Gwangju FC
- 2 May 2026 · Gwangju FC 0–5 Daejeon Citizen
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Daejeon Citizen Win | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Gangwon FC vs Incheon United · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Pohang Steelers vs FC Anyang · 18 Oct 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Jeonbuk Motors vs Jeju United FC · 18 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28