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AFC Challenge League · International
Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fortis host Regar-TadAZ in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Fortis had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 29 and conceding 12. Regar-TadAZ had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 3 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Fortis's last 10 and 1 of Regar-TadAZ's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fortis averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Regar-TadAZ averaged 1.56 scored and 0.44 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.05 goals from Fortis and 1.41 from Regar-TadAZ. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 44%, against 5%, 12% and 83% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fortis (green) and Regar-TadAZ (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortis | LLWDD | 2.90 | 1.20 | 50% | 70% |
| Regar-TadAZ | LWWWD | 1.30 | 0.30 | 10% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Regar-TadAZ HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| Regar-TadAZ 1st Half Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| 0-3 | 17% | 5.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Goa vs Al Qadsia · 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Al Ittihad vs Paro · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Istiqlol vs Wathba · 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Ahal vs Al Ansar · 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Al Ansar Win @ 1.50 - Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals