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AFC Challenge League · International
Ahal vs Al Ansar prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ahal host Al Ansar in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Al Ansar Win — Al Ansar to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Ahal had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 19. Al Ansar had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ahal's last 10 and 7 of Al Ansar's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ahal averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Al Ansar averaged 2.83 scored and 0.67 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Ahal and 2.23 from Al Ansar. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 60%, against 18%, 22% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ahal (green) and Al Ansar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Al Ansar Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.51 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
| Al Ansar HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Goa vs Al Qadsia · 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Al Ittihad vs Paro · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Istiqlol vs Wathba · 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ · 23 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals