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AFC Challenge League · International
Al Ittihad vs Paro prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Al Ittihad host Paro in the AFC Challenge League (International) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Al Ittihad had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 27 and conceding 6. Paro had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 38 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Al Ittihad's last 10 and 4 of Paro's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Al Ittihad averaged 2.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Paro averaged 4.00 scored and 0.80 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Al Ittihad and 1.43 from Paro. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 31%, against 83%, 11% and 6% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Al Ittihad (green) and Paro (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ittihad | WLWWW | 2.70 | 0.60 | 40% | 50% |
| Paro | LDWWW | 3.80 | 0.70 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.24 |
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.35 |
| Al Ittihad HT & FT | 63% | 1.50 |
| Al Ittihad 1st Half Win | 63% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.58 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other AFC Challenge League matches that day
- Goa vs Al Qadsia · 23 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Istiqlol vs Wathba · 23 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals - Fortis vs Regar-TadAZ · 23 Oct 2026, 13:25 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Ahal vs Al Ansar · 23 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Al Ansar Win @ 1.50 - Al Arabi vs Al Nejmeh · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · AFC Challenge League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals