Fasil Ketema vs Bahardar prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo price

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fasil Ketema host Bahardar in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Going into the match, Fasil Ketema had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Bahardar had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Fasil Ketema's last 10 and 3 of Bahardar's last 10; 2 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fasil Ketema averaged 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Bahardar averaged 1.22 scored and 0.56 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.69 goals from Fasil Ketema and 0.90 from Bahardar. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 38% and an away win at 37%. For the published pick itself the model gives 92%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fasil Ketema (green) and Bahardar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form25% – 75%

Attack20% – 80%

Defence50% – 50%

Head-to-head25% – 75%

Goals20% – 80%

Overall strength28% – 72%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Fasil Ketema	LDDWL	0.90	0.70	30%	20%
Bahardar	WLWDL	0.90	0.80	30%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

6 May 2026 · Fasil Ketema 0–2 Bahardar