Ethiopia Bunna vs Adama Kenema prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ethiopia Bunna host Adama Kenema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Ethiopia Bunna had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Adama Kenema had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Ethiopia Bunna's last 10 and 3 of Adama Kenema's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ethiopia Bunna averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.56 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Adama Kenema averaged 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.73 goals from Ethiopia Bunna and 0.94 from Adama Kenema. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 37% and an away win at 38%, against 31%, 32% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ethiopia Bunna (green) and Adama Kenema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%

Attack50% – 50%

Defence25% – 75%

Head-to-head40% – 60%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength40% – 59%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Ethiopia Bunna	LLWLD	0.80	1.00	30%	50%
Adama Kenema	LDDWW	0.70	0.80	30%	20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	74%	1.22
Double Chance X2	68%	1.33
Under 2.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS No	58%	1.57
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	58%	1.56
Adama Kenema Win	36%	2.45
Draw	32%	2.80
0-0	19%	5.00

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.