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Copa Venezuela · Venezuela
Deportivo Lara vs Urena SC prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo Lara host Urena SC in the Copa Venezuela (Venezuela) on 14 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Urena SC to win or draw. It was published at odds of 2.10, which the bookmaker market rated at about 44% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo Lara 4–1 Urena SC.
Going into the match, Deportivo Lara had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Urena SC had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Deportivo Lara's last 10 and 4 of Urena SC's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo Lara averaged 2.46 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Urena SC averaged 2.00 scored and 1.77 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.09 goals from Deportivo Lara and 0.70 from Urena SC. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 10%, against 54%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 31%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo Lara (green) and Urena SC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Lara | WLLWW | 1.90 | 0.70 | 40% | 60% |
| Urena SC | DDDLL | 1.10 | 1.70 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Urena SC 0–1 Deportivo Lara
- 24 Jun 2026 · Urena SC 1–0 Deportivo Lara
- 6 Jun 2026 · Deportivo Lara 2–3 Urena SC
- 12 Apr 2026 · Urena SC 0–0 Deportivo Lara
Other Copa Venezuela matches that day
- Monagas SC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz · 14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–1