Monagas SC vs Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz prediction and preview

14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.40Market probability 63%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Monagas SC host Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz in the Copa Venezuela (Venezuela) on 14 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Monagas SC 2–1 Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz.

Going into the match, Monagas SC had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 10. Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 26 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Monagas SC's last 10 and 5 of Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monagas SC averaged 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz averaged 0.92 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.69 goals from Monagas SC and 0.76 from Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz. From that it rates a home win at 77%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 8%, against 74%, 15% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Monagas SC (green) and Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form80% – 20%

Attack87% – 13%

Defence86% – 14%

Head-to-head100% – 0%

Goals81% – 19%

Overall strength85% – 14%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Monagas SC	WLDWW	1.70	1.00	60%	50%
Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz	LLWWD	0.80	2.60	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

25 Jun 2026 · Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz 0–4 Monagas SC

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Monagas SC Win	74%	1.22
Monagas SC HT & FT	65%	1.44
Monagas SC 1st Half Win	64%	1.40
Over 2.5 Goals	63%	1.40
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	58%	1.56
BTTS No	52%	1.75
3-0	14%	6.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.