Home › League stats › Copa Venezuela › Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua FC
Copa Venezuela · Venezuela
Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua FC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Deportivo La Guaira host Aragua FC in the Copa Venezuela (Venezuela) on 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Deportivo La Guaira 3–0 Aragua FC.
Going into the match, Deportivo La Guaira had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Aragua FC had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Deportivo La Guaira's last 10 and 7 of Aragua FC's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Deportivo La Guaira averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Aragua FC averaged 1.46 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.67 goals from Deportivo La Guaira and 1.33 from Aragua FC. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 29%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Deportivo La Guaira (green) and Aragua FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Guaira | LDLLL | 1.70 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
| Aragua FC | DWWWW | 2.50 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.46 |
| Deportivo La Guaira Win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.78 |
| Deportivo La Guaira HT & FT | 42% | 2.21 |
| Draw | 23% | 3.75 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Copa Venezuela matches that day
- Metropolitanos FC vs Anzoátegui FC · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Metropolitanos FC Win @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Carabobo FC vs Mineros de Guyana · 21 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 1–1 - Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC · 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 0–2 - Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano · 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 · FT 3–1 - Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC · 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC · 21 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.27 · FT 1–1