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Copa Venezuela · Venezuela
Estudiantes de Merida FC vs Caracas FC prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Estudiantes de Merida FC host Caracas FC in the Copa Venezuela (Venezuela) on 21 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–1 Caracas FC.
Going into the match, Estudiantes de Merida FC had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Caracas FC had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Estudiantes de Merida FC's last 10 and 5 of Caracas FC's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Estudiantes de Merida FC averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Caracas FC averaged 1.47 scored and 1.40 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Estudiantes de Merida FC and 1.25 from Caracas FC. From that it rates a home win at 37%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 34%, against 44%, 27% and 29% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Estudiantes de Merida FC (green) and Caracas FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes de Merida FC | DLDLW | 1.20 | 1.10 | 70% | 40% |
| Caracas FC | WLWWD | 1.60 | 1.10 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 4 Aug 2026 · Caracas FC 2–2 Estudiantes de Merida FC
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.78 |
| Estudiantes de Merida FC Win | 44% | 2.05 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Estudiantes de Merida FC HT & FT | 27% | 3.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Copa Venezuela matches that day
- Metropolitanos FC vs Anzoátegui FC · 22 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Metropolitanos FC Win @ 1.53 · FT 1–1 - Carabobo FC vs Mineros de Guyana · 21 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 1–1 - Portuguesa FC vs Zamora FC · 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.68 · FT 0–2 - Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano · 21 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 · FT 3–1 - Deportivo Tachira FC vs Monagas SC · 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 1–1 - Deportivo La Guaira vs Aragua FC · 21 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC · Copa Venezuela
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 · FT 3–0