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Serie B · Italy
Cremonese vs Benevento prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Cremonese host Benevento in the Serie B (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Cremonese had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 9. Benevento had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Cremonese's last 10 and 6 of Benevento's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Cremonese averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Benevento averaged 1.70 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.13 goals from Cremonese and 1.10 from Benevento. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 33%, against 36%, 30% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Cremonese (green) and Benevento (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.75 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.05 |
| Cremonese Win | 36% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Catanzaro vs Padova · 31 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Padova +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Modena vs Mantova · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.20 - Sudtirol vs Cesena · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Cesena +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20