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Serie B · Italy
Modena vs Mantova prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Alberto Braglia, Modena
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Modena host Mantova in the Serie B (Italy) on 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Modena had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 12. Mantova had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Modena's last 10 and 6 of Mantova's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Modena averaged 1.78 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Mantova averaged 1.89 scored and 1.56 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.43 goals from Modena and 1.28 from Mantova. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 33%, against 52%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Modena (green) and Mantova (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Sampdoria vs Virtus Entella · 31 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Catanzaro vs Padova · 31 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Padova +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Cremonese vs Benevento · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Sudtirol vs Cesena · 31 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Cesena +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.20