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Premier League · England
Coventry vs Fulham prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Coventry host Fulham in the Premier League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Coventry had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 19. Fulham had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Coventry's last 10 and 5 of Fulham's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Coventry averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.44 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Fulham averaged 0.91 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.47 goals from Coventry and 1.09 from Fulham. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 27%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Coventry (green) and Fulham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Chelsea vs Tottenham · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Arsenal vs Everton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Aston Villa vs Manchester City · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53