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Premier League · England
Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chelsea host Tottenham in the Premier League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Chelsea had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 28 and conceding 17. Tottenham had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Chelsea's last 10 and 6 of Tottenham's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chelsea averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Tottenham averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.15 goals from Chelsea and 1.15 from Tottenham. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 19%, against 57%, 23% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chelsea (green) and Tottenham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · Chelsea 1–2 Tottenham
- 19 May 2026 · Chelsea 2–1 Tottenham
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.67 |
| Chelsea Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Arsenal vs Everton · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Coventry vs Fulham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Aston Villa vs Manchester City · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53