Home › League stats › Premier League › Arsenal vs Everton
Premier League · England
Arsenal vs Everton prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Arsenal host Everton in the Premier League (England) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Arsenal had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 9. Everton had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Arsenal's last 10 and 4 of Everton's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Arsenal averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Everton averaged 1.57 scored and 1.14 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Arsenal and 0.63 from Everton. From that it rates a home win at 59%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 14%, against 69%, 19% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Arsenal (green) and Everton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| Arsenal Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Chelsea vs Tottenham · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Coventry vs Fulham · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Aston Villa vs Manchester City · 24 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53