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Serie B · Brazil
Ceara vs Juventude prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ceara host Juventude in the Serie B (Brazil) on 17 Oct 2026, 19:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ceara 2–2 Juventude.
Going into the match, Ceara had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Juventude had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ceara's last 10 and 4 of Juventude's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ceara averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Juventude averaged 0.89 scored and 0.78 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Ceara and 1.13 from Juventude. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 33% and an away win at 39%, against 34%, 30% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Juventude 2–0 Ceara
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 68% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 37% | 2.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Sport Recife vs Fortaleza EC · 16 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Ponte Preta vs Atletico Goianiense · 16 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44