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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Carrick Rangers host Linfield in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Carrick Rangers 2–2 Linfield.
Going into the match, Carrick Rangers had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 17. Linfield had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Carrick Rangers's last 10 and 3 of Linfield's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Carrick Rangers averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Linfield averaged 2.14 scored and 0.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Carrick Rangers and 1.71 from Linfield. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 43%, against 27%, 25% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Carrick Rangers (green) and Linfield (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrick Rangers | WWLLD | 1.80 | 1.70 | 50% | 60% |
| Linfield | WWWDW | 1.40 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · Linfield 1–0 Carrick Rangers
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Cliftonville FC vs Portadown · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Glentoran vs Limavady United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0