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Premiership · Northern Ireland
Bangor vs Dungannon Swifts prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bangor host Dungannon Swifts in the Premiership (Northern Ireland) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bangor 0–0 Dungannon Swifts.
Going into the match, Bangor had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Dungannon Swifts had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bangor's last 10 and 3 of Dungannon Swifts's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bangor averaged 1.30 goals scored and 2.10 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Dungannon Swifts averaged 1.38 scored and 1.69 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.04 goals from Bangor and 1.58 from Dungannon Swifts. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 49%, against 26%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bangor (green) and Dungannon Swifts (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | LLLWL | 1.00 | 2.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Dungannon Swifts | LLDLL | 1.10 | 1.40 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Dungannon Swifts 2–0 Bangor
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premiership matches that day
- Cliftonville FC vs Portadown · 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–2 - Ballymena United vs Crusaders FC · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–1 - Carrick Rangers vs Linfield · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 2–2 - Glentoran vs Limavady United · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Premiership
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 1–0