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Ligue 1 · Tunisia
CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
CA Bizertin host ES Hammam-Sousse in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, CA Bizertin had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 11. ES Hammam-Sousse had won 0, drawn 3 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of CA Bizertin's last 10 and 5 of ES Hammam-Sousse's last 10; 1 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home CA Bizertin averaged 0.71 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home ES Hammam-Sousse averaged 0.33 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.03 goals from CA Bizertin and 0.61 from ES Hammam-Sousse. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 20%, against 54%, 29% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between CA Bizertin (green) and ES Hammam-Sousse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CA Bizertin | DLDWW | 0.40 | 1.10 | 20% | 10% |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | LLLLL | 0.70 | 1.70 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.61 |
| CA Bizertin Win | 53% | 1.67 |
| CA Bizertin HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| 1-0 | 21% | 4.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif · 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.50 - US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien · 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja · 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44