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Ligue 1 · Tunisia
AS Marsa vs CS Hammam-Lif prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AS Marsa host CS Hammam-Lif in the Ligue 1 (Tunisia) on 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AS Marsa had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 9. CS Hammam-Lif had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of AS Marsa's last 10 and 2 of CS Hammam-Lif's last 10; 5 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AS Marsa averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.60 conceded across 5 matches; away from home CS Hammam-Lif averaged 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from AS Marsa and 0.53 from CS Hammam-Lif. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 21%, against 45%, 31% and 23% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AS Marsa (green) and CS Hammam-Lif (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Marsa | WDWLD | 1.00 | 0.90 | 30% | 50% |
| CS Hammam-Lif | DWLLL | 0.70 | 0.60 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 69% | 1.33 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 56% | 1.66 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| AS Marsa Win | 44% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 32% | 2.88 |
| AS Marsa HT & FT | 28% | 3.40 |
| 1-0 | 19% | 5.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Ligue 1 matches that day
- US Ben Guerdane vs Stade Tunisien · 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.28 - CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse · 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs Olympique Béja · 23 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC · Ligue 1
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.44