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Premier League · Wales
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Briton Ferry host Colwyn Bay in the Premier League (Wales) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Briton Ferry 1–0 Colwyn Bay.
Going into the match, Briton Ferry had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. Colwyn Bay had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Briton Ferry's last 10 and 4 of Colwyn Bay's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Briton Ferry averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Colwyn Bay averaged 1.63 scored and 1.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.93 goals from Briton Ferry and 1.66 from Colwyn Bay. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 53%, against 20%, 23% and 57% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Briton Ferry (green) and Colwyn Bay (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briton Ferry | DDLLL | 0.80 | 1.90 | 60% | 40% |
| Colwyn Bay | WWWWL | 1.90 | 1.40 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Colwyn Bay Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.