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Serie A · Italy
Bologna vs Inter prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bologna host Inter in the Serie A (Italy) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bologna 1–3 Inter.
Going into the match, Bologna had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Inter had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bologna's last 10 and 6 of Inter's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bologna averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Inter averaged 2.00 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Bologna and 2.01 from Inter. From that it rates a home win at 15%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 63%, against 16%, 23% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bologna (green) and Inter (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Bologna 3–3 Inter
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Inter Win | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie A matches that day
- AS Roma vs Genoa · 17 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: AS Roma Win @ 1.55 · FT 2–0 - Venezia vs Napoli · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Serie A
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44