Home › League stats › Serie B › Avai vs Athletic Club
Serie B · Brazil
Avai vs Athletic Club prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Avai host Athletic Club in the Serie B (Brazil) on 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Avai 0–0 Athletic Club.
Going into the match, Avai had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 13. Athletic Club had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Avai's last 10 and 7 of Athletic Club's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avai averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.89 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Athletic Club averaged 1.25 scored and 1.44 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Avai and 1.05 from Athletic Club. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 29%, against 43%, 30% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Avai (green) and Athletic Club (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avai | WWLLL | 0.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
| Athletic Club | DLLDD | 1.60 | 1.80 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Athletic Club 1–0 Avai
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Avai Win | 43% | 2.20 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- CRB vs Botafogo SP · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: CRB Win @ 1.62 - São Bernardo vs Criciuma · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1 - America Mineiro vs Operario-PR · 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 1–0