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Serie B · Brazil
America Mineiro vs Operario-PR prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
America Mineiro host Operario-PR in the Serie B (Brazil) on 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: America Mineiro 1–0 Operario-PR.
Going into the match, America Mineiro had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Operario-PR had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of America Mineiro's last 10 and 5 of Operario-PR's last 10; 3 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home America Mineiro averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.35 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Operario-PR averaged 1.29 scored and 1.47 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from America Mineiro and 1.40 from Operario-PR. From that it rates a home win at 29%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 42%, against 29%, 28% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America Mineiro | LLLLL | 0.50 | 1.50 | 20% | 30% |
| Operario-PR | LLLDW | 1.40 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 27 Jun 2026 · Operario-PR 1–0 America Mineiro
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Serie B matches that day
- Avai vs Athletic Club · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - CRB vs Botafogo SP · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: CRB Win @ 1.62 - São Bernardo vs Criciuma · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Serie B
Published pick: Under 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 0–1