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Premier League · Ethiopia
Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Adama Kenema host Sheger Ketema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema.
Going into the match, Adama Kenema had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Sheger Ketema had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Adama Kenema's last 10 and 2 of Sheger Ketema's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Adama Kenema averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sheger Ketema averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.71 goals from Adama Kenema and 0.70 from Sheger Ketema. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 29%, against 32%, 33% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Adama Kenema (green) and Sheger Ketema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adama Kenema | WWLDW | 1.10 | 0.90 | 30% | 40% |
| Sheger Ketema | WWWLD | 0.90 | 0.60 | 20% | 10% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 66% | 1.36 |
| BTTS No | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 55% | 1.69 |
| Sheger Ketema Win | 35% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.70 |
| 0-0 | 20% | 4.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Mebrat Hayl vs Negelle Arsi · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.36 · FT 0–0 - Halaba Ketema vs Bahardar · 16 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance X2 · FT 1–0