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Premier League · Ethiopia

Adama Kenema vs Sheger Ketema prediction and preview

16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS NoOdds 1.53Market probability 60%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Adama Kenema host Sheger Ketema in the Premier League (Ethiopia) on 16 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS No — at least one side to fail to score. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Adama Kenema 0–0 Sheger Ketema.

Going into the match, Adama Kenema had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Sheger Ketema had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 3 of Adama Kenema's last 10 and 2 of Sheger Ketema's last 10; 4 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Adama Kenema averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Sheger Ketema averaged 1.13 scored and 0.75 conceded across 8.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.71 goals from Adama Kenema and 0.70 from Sheger Ketema. From that it rates a home win at 30%, a draw at 41% and an away win at 29%, against 32%, 33% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Adama Kenema (green) and Sheger Ketema (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form50% – 50%
Attack50% – 50%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength50% – 50%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Adama KenemaWWLDW1.100.9030%40%
Sheger KetemaWWWLD0.900.6020%10%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1X66%1.36
BTTS No60%1.53
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals55%1.69
Sheger Ketema Win35%2.60
Draw34%2.70
0-020%4.75

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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