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Liga de Ascenso · Costa Rica
AD Sarchí vs Municipal Grecia prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AD Sarchí host Municipal Grecia in the Liga de Ascenso (Costa Rica) on 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.69, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AD Sarchí 2–0 Municipal Grecia.
Going into the match, AD Sarchí had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 14. Municipal Grecia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of AD Sarchí's last 10 and 5 of Municipal Grecia's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AD Sarchí averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Municipal Grecia averaged 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.19 goals from AD Sarchí and 1.00 from Municipal Grecia. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 29%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AD Sarchí (green) and Municipal Grecia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Sarchí | LLWLW | 1.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 50% |
| Municipal Grecia | DWLDD | 1.20 | 0.90 | 50% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 30 Aug 2026 · Municipal Grecia 1–0 AD Sarchí
- 12 Apr 2026 · AD Sarchí 1–1 Municipal Grecia
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.69 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 1.95 |
| AD Sarchí Win | 42% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Liga de Ascenso matches that day
- Santa Ana vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC · 18 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Liga de Ascenso
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.65 - Aserri FC vs AD Carmelita · 18 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC · Liga de Ascenso
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.66 · FT 1–1 - Aserri FC vs Santa Cruz FC · 17 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC · Liga de Ascenso
Published pick: Aserri FC Win @ 1.57 · FT 2–1