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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Tver prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zvezda St. Petersburg host Tver in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Tver to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.45, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 1–8 Tver.
Going into the match, Zvezda St. Petersburg had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 20. Tver had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 10 and 4 of Tver's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zvezda St. Petersburg averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Tver averaged 1.08 scored and 2.00 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Zvezda St. Petersburg and 2.39 from Tver. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 61%, against 38%, 27% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 81%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zvezda St. Petersburg (green) and Tver (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zvezda St. Petersburg | LLLLD | 1.40 | 2.00 | 80% | 60% |
| Tver | WWDDL | 1.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 Jun 2026 · Tver 1–2 Zvezda St. Petersburg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.74 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 1.97 |
| Tver Win | 36% | 2.66 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 30% | 3.13 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.