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Second League - Group 2 · Russia
Zvezda St. Petersburg vs Cherepovets prediction and preview
16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Zvezda St. Petersburg host Cherepovets in the Second League - Group 2 (Russia) on 16 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.62, which the bookmaker market rated at about 58% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Zvezda St. Petersburg 2–0 Cherepovets.
Going into the match, Zvezda St. Petersburg had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 28. Cherepovets had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Zvezda St. Petersburg's last 10 and 6 of Cherepovets's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zvezda St. Petersburg averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cherepovets averaged 1.08 scored and 1.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.81 goals from Zvezda St. Petersburg and 1.49 from Cherepovets. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 31%, against 38%, 31% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Zvezda St. Petersburg (green) and Cherepovets (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zvezda St. Petersburg | WLLLL | 1.60 | 2.80 | 80% | 80% |
| Cherepovets | LLWWL | 1.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · Cherepovets 0–2 Zvezda St. Petersburg
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| Zvezda St. Petersburg Win | 38% | 2.38 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.