Zira vs Sumqayıt prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Zira host Sumqayıt in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Zira had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Sumqayıt had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 17 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Zira's last 10 and 9 of Sumqayıt's last 10; 2 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Zira averaged 1.45 goals scored and 0.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Sumqayıt averaged 1.17 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.84 goals from Zira and 1.08 from Sumqayıt. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 21%, against 53%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Zira (green) and Sumqayıt (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

• 17 May 2026 · Zira 2–1 Sumqayıt

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Zira form and statistics
• Sumqayıt form and statistics
• Premyer Liqa statistics

Other Premyer Liqa matches that day

• Araz vs Qabala · 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC · Premyer Liqa
  Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.33