Araz vs Qabala prediction and preview

The PunterPick prediction

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Araz host Qabala in the Premyer Liqa (Azerbaijan) on 23 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Araz had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Qabala had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Araz's last 10 and 3 of Qabala's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Araz averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Qabala averaged 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 6.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.44 goals from Araz and 1.00 from Qabala. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 25%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Araz (green) and Qabala (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Form before the match

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

• 25 Apr 2026 · Qabala 1–1 Araz

Other markets we priced

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

• Araz form and statistics
• Qabala form and statistics
• Premyer Liqa statistics

Other Premyer Liqa matches that day

• Zira vs Sumqayıt · 23 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Premyer Liqa
  Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28