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Premier League · Kazakhstan

Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Stadion Spartak, Semey

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.73Market probability 55%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Yelimay Semey host Okzhetpes in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Yelimay Semey had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 17. Okzhetpes had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Yelimay Semey's last 10 and 6 of Okzhetpes's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yelimay Semey averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Okzhetpes averaged 1.17 scored and 1.83 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from Yelimay Semey and 1.54 from Okzhetpes. From that it rates a home win at 39%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 35%, against 27%, 26% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Yelimay Semey (green) and Okzhetpes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form53% – 47%
Attack53% – 47%
Defence42% – 58%
Head-to-head29% – 71%
Goals33% – 67%
Overall strength43% – 56%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Yelimay SemeyDWWLW1.601.7070%80%
OkzhetpesWWLWL2.001.1060%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No76%1.21
Double Chance 1275%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.26
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals61%1.48
BTTS Yes57%1.59
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.73
Okzhetpes Win49%1.90
2nd Half Higher Goals47%1.98

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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