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Premier League · Kazakhstan
FK Tobol Kostanay vs Aktobe prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Tobol Kostanay host Aktobe in the Premier League (Kazakhstan) on 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FK Tobol Kostanay had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 13. Aktobe had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FK Tobol Kostanay's last 10 and 9 of Aktobe's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Tobol Kostanay averaged 1.86 goals scored and 1.21 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Aktobe averaged 1.50 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from FK Tobol Kostanay and 1.34 from Aktobe. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 29%, against 45%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Tobol Kostanay (green) and Aktobe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | DWWLW | 2.00 | 1.30 | 70% | 60% |
| Aktobe | DLWDW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.49 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.56 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| 2nd Half Higher Goals | 47% | 1.97 |
| FK Tobol Kostanay Win | 45% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- Irtysh vs Ordabasy · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Kairat Almaty vs Altay · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 1X - Kaspiy vs Kyzyl-Zhar · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Kaspiy Draw No Bet @ 1.33 - Ulytau vs Atyrau · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Yelimay Semey vs Okzhetpes · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.73 - Zhenys vs Kaisar · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Kaisar Over 0.5 Goals @ 1.25 - Zhetysu vs FC Astana · 31 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: FC Astana Win @ 1.70